Recent & Forthcoming Papers
最新及即将发表论文
Di Giacomo, G., Lerch, B.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
This replication package includes data and code to replicate the analysis of the paper "Automation and Human Capital Adjustment: The Effect of Robots on College Enrollment" published in the Journal of Human Resources.
该复制包包含数据和代码，用于复制《人力资源杂志》上发表的论文“自动化和人力资本调整：机器人对大学入学的影响”的分析。
Reynolds, N.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
I show evidence that recent increases in the mortality of white Americans are rooted in a decline in the health of cohorts born after World War II, relative to the trend for earlier-born cohorts. These cohort health differences are evident by the 1980s, suggesting recent mortality increases have deep roots which predate the opioid epidemic and recent economic distress. I identify the role of cohort health by imposing the impact of age on mortality to follow the log-linear, Gompertz form. This imposition yields the sharp, falsifiable prediction — strongly borne out in the data — that a decline in cohort health will result in changes in the slope of the age-profile of log-mortality at the same cohort in each year.
我提供的证据表明，最近美国白人死亡率的上升根源于二战后出生群体的健康状况相对于较早出生群体的趋势下降。这些队列健康差异在 20 世纪 80 年代就很明显，这表明近期死亡率上升的根源早于阿片类药物流行和近期的经济困境。我通过对数线性 Gompertz 形式确定队列健康的作用。这种假设产生了一个尖锐的预测——队列健康状况的下降将导致每年同一队列的对数死亡率年龄分布斜率的变化。
Akee, R., Jones, M. R.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
Abstract not available.
暂无摘要。
Bassanini, A., et al.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
We leverage administrative linked employer-employee data from six European countries to provide the first comparable cross-country evidence on the impact of labor market concentration on wages and job security. We find strikingly similar and relatively low wage elasticities across countries, but greater elasticities for job security, as measured by contract type. We provide suggestive evidence that the similarity of our wage elasticities and the greater sensitivity of job security to labor market concentration may be explained by the dominance of sector-level collective bargaining.
我们利用来自六个欧洲国家的行政相关雇主-雇员数据，提供了关于劳动力市场集中度对工资和工作保障影响的第一个可比较的跨国证据。我们发现各国的工资弹性惊人相似且相对较低，但按合同类型衡量，工作保障的弹性更大。我们提供的暗示性证据表明，工资弹性的相似性和工作保障的敏感性可能与部门层面的集体谈判有关。
Barham, T., Kuhn, R., Turner, P. S.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
Abstract not available.
暂无摘要。
Batsaikhan, M., et al.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
We use a randomized survey to study how discrimination affects parenting choices regarding public daycares. We find bias against ethnic minorities among parents who prefer a structured child care institution but not among parents who prefer free play one. These biases are not reduced when we provide additional information on testifiers’ professions. Our findings offer validation for a model of parenting where biases regarding discrimination are likely to come from parents preferring less permissive methods.
我们通过随机调查研究歧视如何影响家长对日托中心的选择。结果发现，偏好结构化教育的家长对少数族裔存在偏见，而偏好自由玩耍的家长则没有这种偏见。即使提供职业信息，这种偏见也不会减少。研究支持了育儿模式理论，即偏见更多源于那些倾向于非宽容教育方式的父母。
Fontenay, S.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
This paper reveals that providing mothers with a higher maternity leave allowance raises their probability of becoming self-employed after childbirth. Using a Regression Kink Design on Belgian data, I estimate that a 900-euro increase in allowance raises the probability of becoming self-employed by six percentage points. The allowance might lift financial constraints, and self-employed mothers might seek flexible work arrangements when they worked in less family-friendly sectors.
本文研究发现，提高产假津贴能显著增加母亲在产后选择自营职业的可能性。利用比利时数据的回归扭结设计，估计津贴增加900欧元，自营职业概率会提高6个百分点。津贴缓解了财务限制，且自营职业为那些在非家庭友好型行业工作的母亲提供了更灵活的安排。
Eren, O., Ozturk, O.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
This paper examines the effects of failing high school exit exams on adult criminal behavior and economic self-sufficiency. Using linked administrative data, we find that for black students who barely failed the initial exam, adult crime increased by 20 percent compared to those who barely passed. Failing also decreased the likelihood of on-time graduation and increased the odds of reliance on social programs in adulthood for black students.
本文探讨了高中毕业考试失败对成年后犯罪行为和经济自足的影响。通过关联行政数据发现，勉强没过考试的黑人学生比勉强通过者的成年犯罪率高出20%。考试失败还会降低按时毕业率，并增加黑人学生成年后对社会救助计划的依赖。
Dillender, M., et al.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
We examine the labor market impact of states easing occupational license requirements for nurse practitioners (NPs). Employers increase their demand for NPs when states expand their scope of practice. SOP laws also increase NP earnings and reallocate NPs across the healthcare sector, including increasing self-employment. However, inelastic NP labor supply has largely prevented significant increases in total employment.
本研究探讨了放宽执业护士(NP)职业许可要求对劳动力市场的影响。随着执业范围的扩大，雇主对NP的需求随之增加。法律改革提高了NP的收入，促进了其在医疗行业的重新分配（包括自营职业增加），但由于劳动力供给缺乏弹性，总就业人数增加有限。
Arbour, W., Lacroix, G., Marchand, S.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
In Print
This paper exploits variations in program availability in Quebec to estimate their effects on recidivism. We find that reintegration programs (self-development, violent behavior, or education) can substantially decrease the probability of future incarceration. Conversely, focused addiction issues programs are not found to affect recidivism. These results suggest that specific rehabilitation programs explain the beneficial effects of incarceration in some contexts.
本文利用魁北克省康复项目可用性的变化来评估其对累犯的影响。研究发现，针对自我发展、暴力行为或教育的社会重返项目能显著降低未来再次入狱的可能性。相反，成瘾问题项目对减少累犯没有显著影响。结果表明，特定的康复项目是监禁产生正面效应的关键。
Rebollo-Sanz, Y. F., Rodriguez-Planas, N.
Journal: Journal of Human Resources
Date: 2026-05-27
Corrigendum
A correction addressing a minor error in the calculation of elasticity in the previously published paper regarding the reduction of unemployment benefits in the aftermath of the Great Recession.
对此前发表的关于大衰退后减少失业福利的论文中弹性计算小错误的修正。